In the next two months, the largest IPO in human history will happen on Wall Street. SpaceX. $1.75 trillion valuation. $75 billion raise. Maybe more. ¹
The question is… “What is the #1 trade before the IPO?”
We’ve discovered one little-known trade, and it will be revealed right in this article.
Here's the story that almost nobody is talking about.
In February 2026, SpaceX quietly merged with xAI. The deal valued the combined company at around $1.25 trillion. ² It also turned SpaceX into something it had never been before.
An AI company.
So the SpaceX IPO isn't really just about rockets and Starlink anymore. It's about Musk's compute empire. It's about the supercomputers in Memphis. It's about the gigawatts of power that have to be lit up to train Grok.
The Overlooked AI Play
Now, here’s what's happening on the ground.
xAI is building Colossus 2 in the Memphis area. A gigawatt-scale AI training cluster. Roughly 110,000 of Nvidia's most advanced GPUs at full scale. ⁴
The original Colossus 1 was already the largest single-coherent AI training cluster on Earth. ⁵ Colossus 2 will be three to five times bigger.
The problem? Memphis doesn't have the power.
When xAI started building Colossus 1, the local utility could only provide 8 megawatts. ⁶ xAI needed hundreds. The Tennessee Valley Authority couldn't move fast enough. The grid wasn't built for this.
So Musk did what Musk does. He went off-grid.
He found a Houston company that builds portable, behind-the-meter natural gas turbines. He started leasing them by the megawatt. Then he formed a joint venture with that company. Then he started buying their power generation directly.
That company is Solaris Energy Infrastructure. The ticker is SEI on the NYSE.
This is where it gets interesting.
Solaris and xAI formed a 50/50 joint venture called Stateline Power. xAI owns 49.9% of it. ⁷ The JV had already deployed over $112 million in capital expenditures in Q2 2025 alone, with hundreds of millions more committed. ⁸ Stonebriar Commercial Finance loaned the JV up to $550 million to buy more equipment. ⁷
According to SemiAnalysis — one of the most respected data center research firms in the industry — xAI now represents roughly 67% of Solaris's 1,700 megawatt orderbook. ⁸ That's about 1,140 megawatts of contracted power. There's another 425 megawatts of open capacity that xAI is expected to grab as Colossus 2 scales toward 1.5 gigawatts. ⁸
Read that again.
Elon Musk's AI company is, by far, the largest customer this Houston power company has ever had. And the largest contract Solaris owns is half-owned by Musk himself.
Most retail investors have never heard of Solaris. The dots have not been connected.
Now the financials.
Solaris reported Q4 2025 adjusted EBITDA of $69 million. Adjusted pro forma EPS of $0.35. Trailing twelve-month revenue of $622 million. ⁹ The company recently closed transactions to add about 900 megawatts of new natural gas turbine capacity, with deliveries running through the back half of 2026. ⁹
The market cap is about $5.23 billion. ¹⁰ Forward P/E is roughly 38x — not cheap, but reasonable for a company growing this fast in a power-constrained market. ¹¹
Then there's the short interest.
About 20% of the float is sold short. ¹¹
That's an enormous setup heading into the SpaceX IPO. If the S-1 reveals the true scale of xAI's compute spend — and analysts start doing the math on which public company supplies the power — those shorts will be running for the exits.
Bottom line
Every memorable trade in the AI cycle so far has come from following the bottleneck.
Two years ago, the bottleneck was chips. Nvidia was the trade.
Last year, the bottleneck was data center electrical equipment. Vertiv, Powell Industries, GE Vernova — all tripled or more.
This year, the bottleneck is power generation itself.
Solaris sits exactly on that bottleneck, with Musk's biggest AI project as its biggest customer and with his largest IPO in history just weeks away.
Sources
SpaceX confidential S-1 filing with the SEC, April 1, 2026; targeting $1.75T valuation and ~$75B raise. The Motley Fool / Yahoo Finance, "SpaceX IPO: Here's What a $5,000 Investment Could Look Like in 5 Years," April 22, 2026. fool.com — and Techi, "SpaceX IPO 2026: $1.75 Trillion Valuation, SEC Filing, Timeline & How to Invest," April 18, 2026. techi.com/spacex-ipo
SpaceX–xAI all-stock merger, February 2026, valuing combined entity at $1.25 trillion. Teslarati / ARK Invest IPO Guide, April 2026. teslarati.com
SEC requires public S-1 prospectus at least 15 days before IPO roadshow. Roadshow confirmed for week of June 8, 2026. Techi, April 18, 2026. techi.com/spacex-ipo
Colossus 2 specifications — gigawatt-scale, ~110,000 NVIDIA GB200 NVL72 GPUs targeting 1.1 PFlops FP8 compute. NextBigFuture, "XAI Colossus 2 First Gigawatt AI Data Center," September 24, 2025. nextbigfuture.com
Colossus 1 specifications — ~200,000 H100/H200s and ~30,000 GB200 NVL72, built in 122 days. SemiAnalysis, "xAI's Colossus 2 — First Gigawatt Datacenter In The World," September 16, 2025. semianalysis.com
Memphis grid connection initially limited to 8 MW at Colossus 1 site. Wikipedia, "Colossus (supercomputer)," citing Southern Environmental Law Center documents and Memphis Light Gas & Water filings.
Stateline Power joint venture between Solaris Energy Infrastructure and xAI; Stonebriar Commercial Finance loan up to $550 million. CoStar News, "Supercomputer project led by Musk expands Memphis property holdings," July 21, 2025. costar.com
xAI / Stateline Power JV financial breakdown — 50.1% Solaris / 49.9% xAI ownership; $112M Q2 2025 capex; xAI representing ~67% of Solaris's 1,700 MW orderbook (~1,140 MW); 425 MW open capacity; 1.5 GW total scaling target by Q2 2027. SemiAnalysis, September 16, 2025. semianalysis.com
Solaris Energy Infrastructure Q4 2025 earnings release — adjusted EBITDA of $69M, adjusted pro forma EPS of $0.35, TTM revenue $622M, ~900 MW new natural gas turbine capacity addition. Reported February 24, 2026. stockanalysis.com/stocks/sei
Solaris market cap of $3.2–3.7B as of Q1 2026. WallStreetZen, February 12, 2026 (wallstreetzen.com) and Danelfin, March 5, 2026 (danelfin.com)
Solaris valuation, balance sheet, share count, and short interest data — Forward P/E 38x, trailing P/E 81x, $545M debt, $107M cash, share count up 69% YoY, 18.4% short interest. stockanalysis.com/stocks/sei/statistics
EPA closes regulatory loophole on "non-road" gas turbines used by xAI; community pushback from Memphis Boxtown neighborhood and NAACP-affiliated lawsuits via Southern Environmental Law Center. CNBC, "Musk's xAI faces tougher road expanding Memphis area after EPA update," January 16, 2026. cnbc.com
